Poll Trends: Analyzing the Upcoming German Federal Election
Insights from DAWUM Election Trend Analysis
DAWUM's recent election poll trend analysis, incorporating data from five polls conducted between January 16, 2024, and February 2, 2024, provides valuable insights into the upcoming German federal election.
Sonntagsfrage Poll Results
Infratest dimap's "Sonntagsfrage" poll, conducted between elections since 1997, gauges voter intentions on a Sunday voting day. According to this poll, the following party preferences emerged:
- Christian Democratic Union (CDU/CSU): 25%
- Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD): 23%
- Alliance 90/The Greens (Bündnis 90/Die Grünen): 19%
- Free Democratic Party (FDP): 12%
- Alternative for Germany (AfD): 11%
- Left Party (Die Linke): 6%
Other Election Poll Statistics
In addition to the "Sonntagsfrage" poll, several other election polls have been conducted, providing complementary data and insights.
- Forsa's Sonntagsfrage poll on January 16, 2024, had the SPD behind the CDU/CSU by a margin of 23% to 26%.
- ZDF-Politbarometer's current Sonntagsfrage poll places the SPD as the third strongest party, behind the CDU/CSU and the Greens.
- Election trend calculators aggregate and display average values from various election polls, providing up-to-date estimates.
Conclusion
DAWUM's election poll trend analysis paints a competitive picture of the upcoming German federal election. While the CDU/CSU holds a slight advantage, the SPD, Greens, FDP, and AfD are all within striking distance. The outcome of the election is likely to hinge on the remaining weeks of campaigning and the impact of key issues on voters.
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